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Honeywell Business Jet Forecast Tempers Good News with Bad

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Key Takeaways:

  • Honeywell's forecast predicts a 4-5% annual growth in business jet deliveries over the next decade, a slight decrease from prior outlooks, with a strong trend towards larger, more expensive jets, while the light jet market remains flat.
  • A significant shift in sales is expected back to North America (61%), helping to offset economic uncertainties in Europe and slight declines in some emerging markets, though Russia, Brazil, and China will still contribute over a quarter of global deliveries.
  • Total deliveries are projected at 9,250 new business jets worth $250 billion by 2022, with fractional providers expected to significantly boost delivery totals starting next year.
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Honeywell’s latest business aviation market forecast released on Sunday offers a mix of good and not-so-good news for aircraft manufacturers, painting a generally optimistic picture for builders of large-cabin jets, but taking an opposite view of the light jet market, which is predicted to remain essentially flat for the next several years.

Overall, business jet deliveries will be down slightly this year, mostly due to certification delays of some new aircraft models. Honeywell predicts an annual 4- to 5-percent growth rate over the next decade, 1 percent lower than last year’s outlook called for.

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