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$270 Billion Jet Deliveries Anticipated in Next Decade

According to the Jetnet iQ forecast, light jets are expected to account for more than 1 in 5 business jets produced from 2023 to 2032 with large-cabin aircraft a close second.

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Key Takeaways:

  • Rolland Vincent forecasts 8,700 business jet deliveries worth $268 billion from 2023-2032, with light jets accounting for the largest number of units and ultralong-range aircraft generating over 60 percent of sales revenue.
  • The market, having seen "white hot" demand in 2021-2022, currently boasts 18-24 month manufacturer backlogs and strong pricing, despite a soft correction in used aircraft inventory.
  • Operators are gradually more optimistic, with a positive outlook for 2023-2024, though future challenges include achieving sustainability, rebuilding talent pipelines, improving industry image, and adapting to younger buyers who value mobility over ownership.
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Rolland Vincent, creator of the Jetnet iQ forecast, predicts business jet manufacturers will deliver nearly 8,700 airplanes worth $268 billion from 2023 to 2032. Light jets will account for more than 1 in 5 of those produced, the largest slice of the market by numbers. 

Ultralong-range, large-cabin aircraft run a close second in delivery quantities, but score more than 60 percent of the sales revenue. The five largest purpose-built business jet manufacturers now have 18 to 24 month backlogs, says Vincent. Gulfstream, Bombardier, and Dassault have $40 billion in total orders, 80 percent of the first half of 2023 market. 

Fred George

Fred George has flown in the left seat of nearly every business jet produced in the last 30 years, encompassing more than 195 aircraft models total over his career. He reports on the business aviation industry for FLYING, returning to the senior editor position after first contributing to the magazine in the 1980s and 90s.

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