Your home airport’s winds almost always favor Runway 30 departures via a left-turn taxi at Alpha. Today, the wind favors Runway 12. Reaching Alpha, which way should you turn? If you turned left or were so tempted, you fell into or narrowly avoided the expectation bias trap.
Expectation bias lurks in everything we do, especially things we do repetitively. When we get in a car, we expect it to start. When we turn on the tap labeled H, we expect hot water. Each time you taxi to Runway 30, expectation bias is strengthened. No wonder it so quickly becomes automatic.
