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Analyzing Fatals

The NTSB (or FAA when delegated by NTSB) investigates fatal accidents and the Board issues reports on the probable cause of the accident. The reports also list contributing factors to the accident. Typically, the final reports are peppered with words such as loss of control, controlled flight into terrain (CFIT) and other language describing the final event in the accident sequence and attributing it to one or more other events. But rarely does the report explain the “why” of the accident or the “how” of the pilot’s or other participants’ actions relating to the “why.” For example, in a loss-of-control accident, why did the pilot lose control of the aircraft and how did he or she place themselves in that predicament?

Gemini Sparkle

Key Takeaways:

  • Current aviation accident investigations and aggregate data analysis often fail to explain the underlying "why" behind accidents, hindering effective prevention.
  • The author's independent analysis found that over 75% of general aviation fatal accidents were primarily attributable to poor risk management, exceeding expectations.
  • Key risk factors identified were environmental and pilot-related, frequently involving blatant, avoidable risk-taking behaviors that could have been mitigated with proper risk assessment.
  • The article advocates for individual pilots to proactively adopt and integrate risk management practices into their training and flights, challenging a safety culture that often overlooks inherent aviation risks.
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The NTSB (or FAA when delegated by NTSB) investigates fatal accidents and the Board issues reports on the probable cause of the accident. The reports also list contributing factors to the accident. Typically, the final reports are peppered with words such as loss of control, controlled flight into terrain (CFIT) and other language describing the final event in the accident sequence and attributing it to one or more other events. But rarely does the report explain the “why” of the accident or the “how” of the pilot’s or other participants’ actions relating to the “why.” For example, in a loss-of-control accident, why did the pilot lose control of the aircraft and how did he or she place themselves in that predicament?

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