Editor’s Note: A sidebar in Mike Hart’s February 2019 “Losing Orientation” highlighted a 1954 University of Illinois study finding that a non-instrument-rated pilot who inadvertently encounters instrument conditions will last, on average, 178 seconds before losing control. We thought the study deserved some additional scrutiny.
If you’ve been around general aviation for any time at all, by now you should not be surprised to learn that attempted VFR flight into instrument metereological conditions (IMC) and its close cousin, loss of visual references at night, consistently rank as the most lethal type of GA accidents. Although the numbers (thank goodness!) have recently begun to decline, about seven out of every eight—nearly 90 percent—of those accidents are still fatal. That’s largely because, as current NTSB Vice Chairman Bruce Landsberg puts it, they tend to end in flight into terrain, either controlled or (more often) uncontrolled. In both cases, prospects for survival are meager.
