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If X, Then Y

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Key Takeaways:

  • The article critiques traditional Aeronautical Decision-Making (ADM) methods as dated and insufficient for significantly improving general aviation safety.
  • It advocates for a proactive "if/then" approach to ADM, encouraging pilots to pre-plan specific responses to anticipated in-flight contingencies before they occur.
  • Through real-world flying examples, the author demonstrates how to apply this "if/then" logic to effectively manage challenges like fuel shortages or adverse weather, emphasizing the importance of having Plan B or C.
  • The core principle of effective ADM involves obtaining and maintaining situational awareness, processing information to make informed decisions, implementing the chosen action, and continuously monitoring progress.
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A lot of ink and pixels have been spilled over the years to discuss, explore and define what is called aeronautical decision-making, or ADM. The overall topic has its own chapter in the FAA’s Pilot’s Handbook of Aeronautical Knowledge (PHAK), a rather dated Advisory Circular—AC 60-22, “Aeronautical Decision Making”—and a series of FAA FAASTeam courses accessible on the faasafety.gov web site. Those all are useful tools, especially for primary students or those looking to move up the education, experience and certification ladders. As with much of the FAA’s approach to risk management, they all seem to try teaching ADM by applying subjective solutions to a dynamic, objective environment.

That’s not an altogether bad thing, but the tools and acronyms employed have gotten a bit dated, just like that AC on ADM from 1991. Along the way, the general aviation accident record hasn’t improved as much as it should, as much as industry and the agency would like, or as much as the recent revolutions in avionics and airframe design might have promised.

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