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A Change of Seasons

The most immediate change that meteorologists and pilots see in the weather pattern is an increase in the tropospheric flow across the United States and southern Canada at all levels. This starts in earnest in September and continues through October. Temperatures decrease rapidly in the polar regions as fall progresses, dramatically strengthening temperature contrasts between high latitudes and the tropics. This enhances the jet stream pattern and surface patterns alike. So across the board we see an increase in clear air and mechanical turbulence everywhere.

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Key Takeaways:

  • Autumn across the United States is a period of significant meteorological change, marked by a strengthening jet stream, increased turbulence, and enhanced temperature contrasts between polar and tropical regions.
  • Flying conditions vary widely by region, presenting specific hazards such as lake-effect weather in the Great Lakes, increasing fog and Santa Ana winds on the West Coast, polar air outbreaks in the Great Plains, and increased frontal system activity in the Pacific Northwest and Southeast.
  • Pilots should anticipate these diverse regional patterns and their associated risks—including turbulence, low visibility, severe weather, and increasing possibility of ice—for safer and more effective flight planning during the fall season.
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We often think of autumn as the end of summer, but it’s much more than that. Autumn starts on the equinox and ends at the winter solstice, so meteorologically the northern hemisphere is already hurtling headlong into the cool season, with fall ending at the time of minimum insolation. Fall would be a bitterly cold season if not for so much summer heat that was stored in the surrounding ocean waters.

The most immediate change that meteorologists and pilots see in the weather pattern is an increase in the tropospheric flow across the United States and southern Canada at all levels. This starts in earnest in September and continues through October. Temperatures decrease rapidly in the polar regions as fall progresses, dramatically strengthening temperature contrasts between high latitudes and the tropics. This enhances the jet stream pattern and surface patterns alike. So across the board we see an increase in clear air and mechanical turbulence everywhere.

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