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Why Do Pilots Say ‘Winds Aloft Are True’ When Forecasts Are Often Inaccurate?

It’s important to remember that true north and magnetic north are not the same.

The difference between true and magnetic north measured in degrees is called variation. [Credit: Shutterstock]
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Key Takeaways:

  • When pilots say "winds aloft are true," they mean the wind direction is referenced to true north (the Earth's geographic axis), not magnetic north.
  • True north and magnetic north are distinct locations, with the difference between them called "variation," which varies geographically and over time.
  • Winds aloft data are forecasts, which are predictions based on available data, explaining why actual winds at altitude can sometimes differ from the forecast.
See a mistake? Contact us.

Question: Why do people say, “Winds aloft are true,” when what is forecast is often notoriously inaccurate from what you really experience at altitude? I am a student pilot and this has messed me up several times.

Answer: In this case the word “true” means in reference to “true north” as opposed to magnetic north. 

True north, per Chapter 8 of the Pilot’s Handbook of Aeronautical Knowledge (PHAK), is the geographic axis that the Earth rotates about. Think of how a globe is mounted with the posts at the physical north and south poles. 

Meg Godlewski

Meg Godlewski has been an aviation journalist for more than 24 years and a CFI for more than 20 years. If she is not flying or teaching aviation, she is writing about it. Meg is a founding member of the Pilot Proficiency Center at EAA AirVenture and excels at the application of simulation technology to flatten the learning curve. Follow Meg on Twitter @2Lewski.

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