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Sky Kings: Eternal Optimists

Gemini Sparkle

Key Takeaways:

  • Pilots often take unnecessary risks, particularly in challenging weather conditions, due to an "optimism bias"—a strong belief that they can "get away with it" despite obvious hazards.
  • This bias is rooted in positive thinking, a high self-image, and a tendency to dismiss accident victims as less skilled, assuming similar mistakes won't happen to them.
  • Overcoming optimism bias requires pilots to acknowledge that accidents can happen to anyone, learn from others' mistakes without delusion, and vividly visualize potential negative outcomes to better assess real risks.
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It was a lousy day for a VFR trip — not unusual in coastal Southern California in the spring. We get stratus clouds that come in from the ocean and create low ceilings that last for days. On this particular day we needed to get a package up to Corona Airport, and I did not feel like driving the more than three-hour round trip — especially when we had a perfectly good helicopter in the hangar, just waiting for us to fly it.

It was a trip made for a helicopter. Both airports were VFR; however, in between we’d be following a road up a valley capped with clouds with the ridge tops on each side obscured. No problem with a helicopter. We could land virtually anywhere. But for an airplane there wouldn’t be many outs. As Martha and I were discussing this while en route, to our amazement a high-wing airplane appeared out of the murk and flew a few hundred feet over the top of us in the opposite direction.

John King

John King started King Schools Inc., with his wife, Martha, in a spare bedroom of their home. Today, the school operates out of a dedicated complex in San Diego, California, that includes a video and software production facility. John and Martha have shared flying and teaching aviation for more than 50 years.

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