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Report: Global Airline Capacity Up Over Pre-Pandemic Levels

OAG finds the majority of regions have recovered capacity from 2019 except for Southeast Asia, Eastern and Central Europe, Southwest Pacific, and Southern Africa.

Global airline capacity worldwide in the second quarter of 2024 has surpassed that of Q2 2019, the last “normal” year for flights pre-pandemic, according to a report from U.K.-based travel data company OAG.

The capacity for Q2 2024 is up about 4 percent over Q2 2019 for seats on international and domestic flights with about 1.51 billion seats on the schedule compared to 1.45 billion seats. 

OAG found that the majority of regions have recovered capacity from 2019 except for Southeast Asia, Eastern and Central Europe, Southwest Pacific, and Southern Africa. 

OAG reported: 

  • Southeast Asia had 128.7 million seats offered in Q2 2019 but only 114.2 million seats offered in Q2 2024, an 11.3 percent decrease. 
  • Eastern and Central Europe had 59 million seats offered in Q2 2019 but only 50.9 million seats offered in Q2 2024, a 13.8 percent  decrease. 
  • Southwest Pacific had 35.7 million seats offered in Q2 2019 but only 34.9 million seats offered in Q2 2024, a 2.1 percent decrease. 
  • Southern Africa had 10.1 million seats offered in Q2 2019 but only 8.5 million seats offered in Q2 2024, a 15.5 percent decrease. 

The U.S. aviation market remains the largest in the world with 310.9 million seats scheduled for this Q2, a 6.5 percent increase over Q2 2019 when 291.8 million seats were offered. Of the top 10 country markets, Japan, the United Kingdom, Germany, and Indonesia haven’t recovered to Q2 2019 levels. 

OAG reported:

  • Japan had 53.4 million seats offered in Q2 2019 but only 49.9 million seats offered in Q2 2024, a 6.5 percent decrease. 
  • The U.K. had 47.7 million seats offered in Q2 2019 but only 47.2 million seats offered in Q2 2024, a 1 percent decrease.
  • Germany had 42.1 million seats offered in Q2 2019 but only 35.6 million seats offered in Q2 2024, a 15.5 percent decrease.
  • Indonesia had 37.7 million seats offered in Q2 2019 but only 34.6 million seats offered in Q2 2024, an 8 percent decrease. 

Germany’s global flight capacity decline can be attributed to travel pattern changes, reductions in domestic capacity, and one of the slowest long-haul market recoveries post-pandemic, OAG said. Japan relies on China for capacity and the operational challenge of Russian overflights for some airlines. 

United Airlines is the top carrier by capacity, up 5.7 percent in Q2 2024 over Q2 2019, according to OAG, while Delta Air Lines and EasyJet have yet to exceed Q2 2019. 

OAG reported:

  • Delta had 62.7 million seats offered in Q2 2019 but only 61.9 million seats offered in Q2 2024, a 1.3 percent decrease.
  • EasyJet had 28.9 million seats offered in Q2 2019 but only 28.5 million seats offered in Q2 2024, a 1.2 percent decrease. 

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