Different Spins on TAAs
Your editorial in the May issue, “Looking for Eight More Lives,” quoting from the Air Safety Institute’s 2012 TAA Special Report, provides an example of how easily summary statistics can lead us astray. Different reports use different methodologies.
By grouping Cirrus and Columbia together, the ASI report implies that Columbia aircraft suffer from a relatively high rate of stall/spin accidents, yet in the entire history of the Columbia fleet, there has been only one documented stall/spin accident. Since the Cirrus fleet is larger and started shipping earlier, the ASI grouping is biased almost 10 to 1 by the Cirrus accident history.
