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Improve Your ADM

The IMSAFE and PAVE models are well-known aids to proper aeronautical decision making. Yet, we continue to make bad decisions. This study might help.

Danger from a thunderstorm extends well beyond its visual boundary.
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Key Takeaways:

  • A study of 1481 fatal general aviation accidents (1991-2019) found that 57% were attributable to unsound go/no-go decision-making, underscoring a significant challenge in general aviation safety.
  • The "environment" category, particularly adverse weather, was the primary factor in these ADM-related accidents, with a surprising number of instrument-rated pilots electing to fly into forecasted marginal VFR or icing conditions.
  • While fatal accidents involving instrument-rated pilots departing in marginal VFR conditions have declined by 60% over the study period, accident rates related to pilot proficiency, aircraft familiarity, and mental/physical impairment have remained static for 30 years.
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General aviation hardly boasts a stellar safety record compared to our siblings flying heavy iron. This partly reflects the flexibility of the regulations governing general aviation operations compared with a much more regimented structure for the airlines. With the objective of improving safety, back in 1991, the FAA introduced the concept of sound aeronautical decision-making (ADM) practices to general aviation. Let’s look at the history of aeronautical decision-making and describe the findings of a recent study by two Embry Riddle researchers to determine the extent to which general aviation pilots have “bought in” to (or to be more exact: “ignored”) such safety practices.

Sound ADM Practices

We often say—and more often hear—that GA isn’t as safe as the airlines. But, let’s put some numbers on that. During 2018 through 2022, there were 518 fatal general aviation accidents compared with a paltry 3 for the airlines. That’s a 173:1 difference—not particularly impressive. Of course, several reasons underlie this disparity and as mentioned above, it’s partly due to the flexibility of general aviation operating regulations. For example an air carrier aircraft is prohibited from departing to its destination if the TAF for the arrival airport is forecasting weather below minimums at the ETA. But, there’s nothing illegal with a general aviation pilot undertaking this trip.

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