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Airline Pilot Shortage?

Gemini Sparkle

Key Takeaways:

  • The perceived "pilot shortage" isn't a lack of qualified individuals, but a scarcity of those willing to endure demanding schedules and low initial compensation relative to high training costs.
  • Regional carriers struggle with pilot retention due to low pay, as pilots quickly move to major airlines for better compensation and working conditions.
  • The airline pilot profession's overall appeal is diminished by cyclical industry instability, job insecurity (e.g., medical certification risk, mergers), and inherently demanding work conditions.
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While I write this, Southwest Airlines is losing a public relations battle over the thousands of canceled flights it racked up at the end of December 2022. The airline’s labor and management disagree about the underlying causes of the carrier’s inability to launch airplanes, and handle loading and unloading of luggage, but the worst aviation job in December was in customer service at Southwest.

Although the airline’s problems seem to be systemic and deep—and not safety related, though the final chapter hasn’t been written—one thing they seem have little to do with is a shortage of pilots. Which may or may not be the case at other carriers. In fact, an airline pilot shortage is like bad weather: it comes and goes, and it seems no one ever does anything about it. Another thing: The airline business is cyclical, and no one ever does anything about that, either.

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