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Twelve Months

According to panelists at a recent Miami, Fla., conference geared to the business jet community and reported by Aviation International News (AIN), not all of the in-service fleet is expected to be compliant by the deadline. (Full disclosure: I often perform freelance work for AIN, for which I am compensated.) In fact, data cited by AIN show compliance is far from universal, with 17.5 percent of the piston-powered general aviation fleet (35,791 of 204,191) currently equipped.

Gemini Sparkle

Key Takeaways:

  • The January 1, 2020, ADS-B Out deadline is fast approaching, but compliance remains low across various aircraft fleets, despite a significant decrease in equipment costs over the past decade.
  • The impending deadline is causing a shortage of installation slots and potential equipment shortages, which is expected to ground many non-compliant aircraft and may lead to increased installation costs.
  • Post-deadline, the value of non-equipped aircraft will significantly decrease, while installations will continue as shop availability improves and prices stabilize, solidifying ADS-B as the new mandatory standard.
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About the time this issue hits your mailbox, the industry will mark one year before the FAA will require ADS-B Out equipment to operate in airspace where a Mode C transponder is required today. The January 1, 2020, deadline was set in 2010, and it’s been fascinating to watch commercial, corporate, business and personal aircraft operators wrestle with the evolving market choices.

Over the 10 years since the ADS-B rule was made final, the typical cost of installing complying equipment—if you could even find any at first—has gone from roughly 10 AMUs (aviation maintenance unit, currently $1000) for certified personal aircraft to slightly more than one. Along the way, capabilities have improved, with cockpit connectivity and built-in display of ADS-B In’s traffic and weather information often driving both the decision to equip and the products installed.

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