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Dont Need no Stinkin Pilots

There are only four reasons for pilots: military, function, transportation and fun. The military is largely independent, so we can ignore them. Function might include taking tourists up for a great view or it could mean flying miles of pipeline looking for oily, wet spots. Transportation is obvious: people and stuff need to get from all the Points A to all the Points B. Finally, fun is the reason were willing to spend thousands a year to go out to the airport on a nice Saturday and spend a couple hundred more to fly somewhere for a bad hamburger.

Gemini Sparkle

Key Takeaways:

  • The long-predicted pilot shortage is becoming a serious reality, evidenced by a drastic decline in new Private Pilot licenses issued since 1978.
  • While military, functional, and transportation aviation sectors may adapt, the recreational "fun flying" segment is most vulnerable and faces potential disappearance.
  • The loss of recreational pilots threatens to bankrupt general aviation manufacturers and lead major suppliers to abandon the aviation market entirely.
  • There's an urgent call to action to promote the enjoyment and thrill of flying to attract new pilots and prevent the demise of the recreational aviation sector.
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The looming pilot shortage first reached my awareness in 1968 and has remained right around the corner. But, like the boy crying wolf, it may actually happen. The graph behind this text shows the number of new Private Pilot licenses issued in the US. In 1978 a bit over 58,000 were issued with less than 15,000 in 2011. It doesn’t take a PhD in statistics to see where that trend leads.

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