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What Makes a Debatable Risk?

A questionable takeoff in fog by the pilot of a Cessna 340 ends in tragedy.

Aerial view of the airport accident site. NTSB Accident Report
Gemini Sparkle

Key Takeaways:

  • A Cessna 340 crashed on Christmas Eve 2017, killing all five occupants, shortly after taking off in dense ground fog, with the NTSB concluding the pilot became disoriented.
  • The NTSB report featured critical comments from acquaintances labeling the pilot as "risky" despite his instrument rating, good maintenance record, and general diligence.
  • The pilot, a 70-year-old corporate lawyer, had a different personal risk assessment than some peers, demonstrated by a willingness to fly in legally permissible but marginal weather conditions.
  • The article implicitly questions how risks are perceived and judged in hindsight, suggesting that actions deemed debatable or legal before an accident are re-evaluated as clearly unsafe afterward.
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Early in the morning of Christmas Eve in 2017, dense ground fog covered some parts of central Florida. The sky above was clear and the forecast called for the fog to burn off by 9 a.m.

Sometime before 7 a.m., the pilot-owner of a Cessna 340 asked the Bartow Municipal Airport FBO where he hangared the airplane to tow it out to the ramp edge, so that he would not have to taxi among parked airplanes in the fog. The pilot and four passengers—his two daughters, the husband of one and a friend—were already seated in the airplane when two linemen towed it out and, at the pilot’s request, wiped condensation from the windshield with a towel. They then watched as he started the engines and taxied very slowly away into the mist.

Peter Garrison

Peter Garrison taught himself to use a slide rule and tin snips, built an airplane in his backyard, and flew it to Japan. He began contributing to FLYING in 1968, and he continues to share his columns, ""Technicalities"" and ""Aftermath,"" with FLYING readers.

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