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Taking Wing: Black Swan Rising

Aircraft line closed taxiways and ­runways at airports across the country. iStock/KenRinger
Gemini Sparkle

Key Takeaways:

  • The author, a new airline captain, recounts starting his command amidst the unsettling and rapid onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, which immediately became a devastating "black swan" event for the airline industry.
  • The crisis exposed the industry's inherent vulnerability to external shocks, shattering recent optimism among management and newer pilots who hadn't experienced severe downturns, unlike veteran colleagues scarred by events like 9/11.
  • Immediate consequences included massive capacity cuts, grounding hundreds of aircraft, near-zero revenue, thousands of flight cancellations, and the looming threat of furloughs and bankruptcies for major carriers.
  • Despite the dire situation and uncertainty, the author expresses hope that people's desire to fly will lead to the industry's eventual recovery, with pilots ready to return when the public is prepared to travel again.
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It was a bright spring day at Flight Level 350, far above the Chesapeake Bay, as we cruised up the Eastern Seaboard en route to Newark, New Jersey. This was my first time flying a jet in more than a month—really flying, not playacting in a giant video game on hydraulic stilts ensconced in the antiseptic cloisters of the training center.

Sam Weigel

Sam Weigel has been an airplane nut since an early age, and when he's not flying the Boeing 737 for work, he enjoys going low and slow in vintage taildraggers. He and his wife live west of Seattle, where they are building an aviation homestead on a private 2,400-foot grass airstrip.

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