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Weather Accident Types and Trends

Gemini Sparkle

Key Takeaways:

  • Weather-related accidents remain a significant and persistent issue in general aviation, with their numbers not declining appreciably.
  • The rate of fatal VFR-into-IMC accidents per flying hour has increased, partly due to more capable aircraft comprising a larger proportion of the GA fleet.
  • A very high proportion of weather-related accidents, especially VFR-into-IMC incidents, are fatal, making them a critical concern for general aviation safety.
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Weather-related accidents have always been a big issue for general aviation. Their number has not been declining appreciably, as demonstrated by the graph at right, adapted from the most-recent AOPA Air Safety Institute’s 24th Joseph T. Nall Report, which discusses general aviation accidents in 2012.

During the eight-year period from 2005-2012, the number of fatal weather-related accidents ranged from 36 to 47, with an average of about 40 per year. Given that overall general aviation flying hours decreased during this period, the rate of fatal VFR-into-IMC accidents per flying hour has been increasing. As mentioned, relatively high performance aircraft tend to have more exposure to marginal weather than simple training and personal aircraft, and these more-capable airplanes are comprising a larger proportion of the active GA fleet than ever.

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