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Sky Kings: Eternal Optimists

Gemini Sparkle

Key Takeaways:

  • Pilots often make dangerously optimistic decisions in challenging weather, as illustrated by instances of VFR flights in conditions suitable only for IFR or helicopters, leading to crashes or near-fatal incidents.
  • This risky behavior is largely attributed to "optimism bias," where pilots believe they can "get away with it," underestimate the risks, or perceive themselves as immune to the errors that affect other pilots.
  • While generally a positive human trait, optimism bias in aviation can severely cloud judgment, leading pilots to ignore obvious hazards and make choices with potentially fatal consequences.
  • Overcoming this bias involves actively recognizing inherent risks, learning from others' accidents without assuming personal immunity, and sometimes visualizing negative outcomes to foster safer, more conservative decision-making.
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It was a lousy day for a VFR trip — not unusual in coastal Southern California in the spring. We get stratus clouds that come in from the ocean and create low ceilings that last for days. On this particular day we needed to get a package up to Corona Airport, and I did not feel like driving the more than three-hour round trip — especially when we had a perfectly good helicopter in the hangar, just waiting for us to fly it.

It was a trip made for a helicopter. Both airports were VFR; however, in between we’d be following a road up a valley capped with clouds with the ridge tops on each side obscured. No problem with a helicopter. We could land virtually anywhere. But for an airplane there wouldn’t be many outs. As Martha and I were discussing this while en route, to our amazement a high-wing airplane appeared out of the murk and flew a few hundred feet over the top of us in the opposite direction.

John King

John King started King Schools Inc., with his wife, Martha, in a spare bedroom of their home. Today, the school operates out of a dedicated complex in San Diego, California, that includes a video and software production facility. John and Martha have shared flying and teaching aviation for more than 50 years.

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