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The Human Factor: Be Predictable

** Illustration by Tim Eggert**
Gemini Sparkle

Key Takeaways:

  • The article highlights the significant danger posed by traffic moving in unexpected directions, whether it's a cyclist against traffic or aircraft deviating from established patterns.
  • To mitigate collision risks, especially in busy airport environments, pilots must strictly adhere to predictable flight patterns, maintain appropriate altitudes, and actively communicate their position and intentions.
  • A mid-air collision case study demonstrates that a single pilot's failure to follow standard procedures and communicate can have fatal consequences, underscoring the aviation system's reliance on collective predictability and communication for safety.
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It was a normal Saturday morning. I had just left the bank and pulled up to the busy street to wait for a break in traffic so I could make a right turn. I had quickly checked to the right when I first stopped at the sidewalk, and then focused on the traffic approaching from the left. Finally, I saw my opportunity and started to accelerate forward as I made a final check to the right. To my horror, there was a man on a bicycle approaching rapidly from my right. I slammed on the brakes, narrowly avoiding hitting him.

Many people are not aware that one of the most dangerous practices when riding a bicycle is traveling against the flow of traffic. The problem is that drivers are not expecting anyone to approach from the right at any pace faster than a walk, so they focus on the traffic approaching from the left and may not notice a bicycle approaching from the right until it is too late.

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