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Flying the Margins: How One Pilot’s Choices Stacked the Odds

Sometimes it’s not worth finding out if normal aviation variability will exceed your capabilities.

A solid strategy when en route with poor weather everywhere is to divert early to someplace where the conditions are good. [Adobe Stock]
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Key Takeaways:

  • A fatal Cirrus SR22 accident in challenging weather was linked to the pilot's decision to use an ILS approach rather than an RNAV (GPS) approach.
  • The chosen ILS approach required manual flight for the final 600 feet and the start of any missed approach, while the RNAV option would have allowed full autopilot use, mitigating risks in poor visibility and with inoperative approach lighting.
  • The probable cause was the aircraft getting dangerously slow during a hand-flown missed approach, highlighting the importance of leveraging automation, choosing safer approach types, and considering early diversions or trip delays in hazardous conditions.
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Last month I wrote about my preference for RNAV approaches versus ILSs in most but not all situations. Earlier this year there was a fatal accident in a Cirrus SR22 in Bar Harbor, Maine, in which the pilot’s choice of an ILS versus an RNAV approach had a direct impact on the outcome. 

In his book Pre-Accident Investigations, safety expert Todd Conklin wrote that “aviation accidents are the unexpected combination of normal aviation variability.” In this accident, if some variables were different, there could have been a more positive outcome. Instead, as you’ll see, the challenges this pilot faced kept stacking up. 

Max Trescott

Max Trescott is the host of the popular Aviation News Talk podcast, which focuses on GA and safety. He’s a Cirrus Platinum CSIP and SF50 type-rated pilot who often helps buyers fly their aircraft home. He’s also the 2008 National CFI of the Year.

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