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Embraer Releases 20-year Market Outlook

Company predicts growth of regional market and increased demand for jets.

Embraer suggests that the industry would eventually recover from the pandemic slump by 2024. [File photo: Shutterstock]
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Key Takeaways:

  • Embraer's 20-year market outlook for sub-150 commercial aircraft predicts a full recovery by 2024, with 3.2% annual growth in demand leading to a global need for 10,950 new aircraft.
  • Growth will be driven by trends such as remote work promoting lower-capacity aircraft, sustainability initiatives favoring smaller planes for green technologies, and the e-commerce boom boosting demand for regional cargo jets.
  • The Asia-Pacific region is projected to be the fastest-growing market, leading in regional jet revenue and turboprop deliveries, while North America is expected to receive the most overall aircraft deliveries.
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Embraer [NYSE: ERJ] released its 20-year market outlook at the Farnborough Airshow on Tuesday. The report focuses on the manufacturer’s sub-150 commercial aircraft segment, which typically caters to regional airlines, and provides insight into trends that could affect airplane demand through 2041.

Even though airlines’ passenger capacity has not fully recovered to pre-pandemic levels, travelers have rushed back to the sky, and many airlines cannot keep up. In its report, Embraer suggests that the industry would eventually recover from the pandemic slump by 2024 and that demand for air travel would grow 3.2 percent annually over the next 20 years. Last year, the company predicted a slightly higher growth rate of 3.3 percent but said this time that the disruption caused by the Russia-Ukraine war caused it to trim its expectations.

Michael Wildes

Michael Wildes holds a master’s degree in Logistics & Supply Chain Management, and a bachelor’s degree in Aeronautical Science, both from Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University. Previously, he worked at the university’s flight department as a Flight Check Airman, Assistant Training Manager, and Quality Assurance Mentor. He holds MEI, CFI & CFII ratings. Follow Michael on Twitter @Captainwildes.

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