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Pilot Shortage Looms, Boeing Report Says

By Bethany Whitfield / Published: Jul 18, 2012
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Boeing 737

Boeing's recent report anticipates 69,000
pilot slots will open up in the U.S. alone by
2031, raising new fears of a pilot shortage.

A new report issued by Boeing has once again rekindled debate over whether or not a pilot shortage looms, as well as what kind of safety implications such a shortage might have for the worldwide commercial airline industry.

In its report, Boeing predicts close to half a million pilots will be needed on a global scale in the next two decades as older pilots retire and worldwide air traffic grows. According to the industry giant, many of those pilot slots needing to be filled –185,600 of them, to be exact – will be in Asia, while 69,000 of those jobs will be here in the U.S.

Aircraft maintenance personnel needs are also projected to explode, according to the report, with 601,000 new positions opening up across the world.

The report comes as we approach the fifth anniversary of Congress’ extension of the U.S. commercial pilot retirement age from 60 to 65.

Analysts say the new exodus of retiring pilots to take place as they cross that threshold, along with tougher requirements that will mandate all commercial first officers have 1,500 hours, will create new strains on the need for pilots across the spectrum.

Others, however, contend that, with the string of airline bankruptcies and recent layoffs, the U.S. will not have to deal with a pilot shortage anytime in the near future, as American pilots who’ve taken jobs abroad will likely return home once hiring picks up.

Read Robert Goyer's "Why the Coming Pilot Shortage Isn't Creating Lots of New Pilots...Yet."

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KitDarby's picture

So you really believe the 1,000-1,500 US pilots working overseas as captains for return to the US to take Regional or Major airline first officer positions in significant numbers? If they all came home they would just scratch the surface of what will be needed. They make $10,000 to $18,000 per month plus benefits compared to the starting pay of $20,000 to $24,000 per year at the Regionals or $36,000 to $50,000 per year at the Majors. They are Captains now and will not see that position again for 4-5 years at the Regionalls or 8-10 years at the majors. Many will retire at age 65 before they will see Captain again if they return to the US.

The foreign airlines will need lots of US Captains in the future but there are not that many there now.

They will not come home to start over as first officer and the US seniority promotion system prevents them from going directly to the left seat.

This is not going to delay the pilot shortage a minuet.

jiourt's picture

It will be quite difficult to find another pilot shortage like in '60 or '70. [url=http://pilotwork.net/pilotjobs]Pilot jobs[/url] are becoming less and less especially because technology is cutting jobs instead to create it.

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